Frequencies are from hands actually dealt in this session. The Monte Carlo tab runs millions for the converged numbers.
Overriding the outs count to always raise on board-made two pair or better measures 0.407% worse per ante over four million paired deals. The outs count already covers genuinely strong hands.
Win with less than a straight and the Blind pushes. Lose and it goes, whatever you hold.
Trips settles on your own hand whether or not you fold and whether or not the dealer opens. House edges are exact, computed from the 133,784,560 seven-card combinations.
| Measure | Simulated | Published | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
Runs the same engine that deals the live table, playing every hand by the book. | |||
This game swings hard — the standard deviation is about 4.9 ante units per hand, so a house-edge estimate at 200,000 hands still carries roughly ±1.1 percentage points. Run millions before trusting the third decimal.
Robert Adam Clifford is an oil and gas consultant, an international arms dealer at Pathfinder Defense LLC, and a part-time passionate gambler. He writes and publishes through Lost Cabin Consulting LLC, where he produces mathematically rigorous, independently verified research on casino games, slot machine mathematics, table game theory, sports and pari-mutuel wagering, and prediction markets.
Seven volumes covering blackjack, baccarat, Ultimate Texas Hold’em, slots and video keno, roulette, craps, and horse racing — the combinatorial math behind the games worked from first principles.
All four are free, offline, single-file apps, and free to share. More titles on the author page. Questions or a copy of any simulator: aclifford@lostcabinconsultingllc.com
Strategy is worth real money in this game. Played by the book the house edge is about 2.2% of the ante — roughly half a percent of what you actually put at risk. Played on instinct it climbs past 10%. That gap is bigger than in almost any other table game, which is the entire reason this trainer exists.